Cowboys vs. Rams: Predictions and Simulations
Fair to say nobody quite knows what to expect of the new-look Cowboys as they face the St. Louis Rams today. We’re getting mixed messages about whether Tony Romo will start, though I still think it is a bad move due to the potential for long-term problems. That’s just me, though.
Here are some previews and predictions:
Accuscore: Dallas Still favored
The loss of Tony Romo threw off the simulations for Accuscore, but the Cowboys are still favored. Here is a look:
With Tony Romo and Felix Jones healthy they Cowboys were winning by an average of 12 points per simulation. Now they are winning by 7 points per sim and their winning percentage dropped from 80 percent to just 68 percent. Marion Barber is carrying the load and has a 61 percent chance of rushing for 100+ yards. However, if Barber is held under 100 the Cowboys are upset by 2 points per simulation. Brad Johnson is performing well with an 87 passer rating and a nearly 2 to 1 touchdown to interception ratio. However, if St Louis can sack the 40 year old Johnson 4 or more times the Rams win 51 percent of simulations according to the Custom Game Simulator.
WhatIfSports: Dallas 31, St. Louis 21
WhatIfSports simulated the game with Brad Johnson playing quarterback, and the Cowboys won 69.2% of the games by an average score of 31-21. Roy Williams was not factored into the simulations.
On Pigskin Pick’em, 73% of the users picked Dallas to cover the 6.5-point spread.