Predictions Somehow Favor Cowboys Over the Giants

Tony Romo and the Cowboys hope to avoid the team's first 1-5 start since 1989 on Monday night.

Please excuse this blog for its blogger’s complete lack of faith in the Dallas Cowboys.

The stupid, bumbling, and disciplined-as-my-10-year-old’s-junior-league-team Dallas Cowboys hope to avoid the franchise’s first 1-5 start since 1989 by beating the New York Giants at Cowboys Stadium on Monday Night Football. Almost inexplicably, two of the simulators below along with several commentators think the Cowboys will do it.

Super. Go Rangers. And Sic ‘Em Bears.

Madden Simulator: Dallas 23, N.Y. Giants 20

The producers of the Madden series must really like the Cowboys, because yet again, the game predicts a Dallas win.

When the 1-4 Cowboys take on the 4-2 Giants, Dallas needs to play with the kind of desperation that comes with their season being on the line. That’s exactly what happened in the “Madden” simulation, as the Cowboys finally play with the type of fire and ferocity that their talent level should dictate, including a 10-catch, 156-yard performance by Miles Austin to help the Cowboys beat their division rivals, 23-20.

Player of the Game: Miles Austin

AccuScore: Dallas 26, N.Y. Giants 22

The Cowboys won 63.1% of AccuScore’s simulations by an average score of 26.3 to 22.2.

The Dallas Cowboys are a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat the New York Giants. Felix Jones is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 35% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where New York Giants wins, Eli Manning averages 1.9 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.4 TDs to 0.91 interceptions. Ahmad Bradshaw averages 73 rushing yards and 0.66 rushing TDs when New York Giants wins and 47 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. The Dallas Cowboys has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time.

WhatIfSports: N.Y. Giants 20, Dallas 18

This one is less of a surprise, though the WhatIfSports’ simulations predict that the Cowboys will only commit one turnover against New York. David Buehler averaged one missed field goal per game, and if the margin is this close, that miss would cost the Cowboys yet another game.

Perhaps the Cowboys have a shot at winning this, and any win over a division rival is a good win. That said, it’s really tough to get excited about the possibility of the victory or even a short run back to the .500 mark.

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