Simulations Favor Dallas Despite the Injuries

The Cowboys are limping into their week 3 matchup against the Redskins, but according to most simulations, Dallas has the edge. Here’s a look:

AccuScore: Dallas 26, Washington 23

The Cowboys won 57.5% of the simulations on AccuScore.

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Washington Redskins winning 42% of simulations, and the Dallas Cowboys 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Washington Redskins commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. The Dallas Cowboys wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tim Hightower is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Felix Jones is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17% chance) then he helps his team win 75%

What If Sports: Dallas 23, Washington 22

The What If Sports simulations were a bit closer. Dez Bryant and Jason Witten both averaged 68 receiving yards, and Tony Romo averaged just over 300 yards per game. Dallas only won 50.7% of the games.

Madden: Dallas 23, Washington 16

Witten played a big role in the Madden simulation, catching nine passes for 104 yards and a touchdown in a 23-16 win. Kevin Ogletree also caught a touchdown.

Tecmo Super Bowl 2012: Dallas 41, Washington 10

In the most important simulation, Dallas improved to 3-0 in the Tecmo Super Bowl world with a 41-10 rout of Washington.