Eagles-Cowboys Looks Like a Toss-Up

There is some question about whether the Eagles- Cowboys game is a good rivalry. The Eagles dominated the series throughout the early 2000s, winning nine of ten. Since 2005, though, the Cowboys have a 7-5 record against Philadelphia along with a playoff win.

The game on Sunday night is critical for both teams. Philadelphia enters the game at 2-4, and a loss could severely hurt the team’s playoff chances. Dallas isn’t in much of a better place at 3-3, though.

On ESPN’s Pigskin Pick’em, 57.2% picked the Eagles to win. However, the numbers are much closer in the simulations.

AccuScore: Philadelphia 26.8, Dallas 26.7

It doesn’t get much closer than what we see in the AccuScore predictions.

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 50% of simulations, and the Philadelphia Eagles 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. The Philadelphia Eagles wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tony Romo is averaging 264 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (30% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Michael Vick is averaging 260 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

What If Sports: Dallas 25, Philadelphia 19

This was a surprise, as Dallas won 69% of the What If Sports’ simulations by an average of six points. The Cowboys held Michael Vick in check, while Tony Romo averaged more than 300 passing yards and DeMarco Murray averaged 55 rushing yards.

Madden: Philadelphia 27, Dallas 24

Romo gave Dallas the lead in the fourth quarter with a TD pass to Jason Witten, but Vick drove the Eagles to the game winner.

Michael Vick was a one-man wrecking crew against the rival Cowboys, throwing for 314 yards and two touchdowns, running for 42 yards and another score, while also delivering a perfect game-winning pass to DeSean Jackson with only 24 seconds left on the clock to give his Eagles the crucial 27-24 victory. No wonder he’s the best player in “Madden” history.

Tecmo Super Bowl 2012: Dallas 19, Philadelphia 17

The Cowboys trailed for much of this game. However, a long run by Felix Jones late in the game helped to set up a game-winning field goal with less than 20 seconds left. Dallas now has a 5-2 record in our Tecmo simulation.