Simulation Review: Cowboys Are Favored by a Touchdown

Most simulations have the Cowboys winning by about a touchdown, or perhaps more.

It’s been a long nine days since the Cowboys ruined our Thanksgiving. Dallas returns to the field tomorrow night to face the Philadelphia Eagles, who have not won since September.

The simulations do not think the game will be close. Notwithstanding the Thanksgiving performance, the sims have the Cowboys winning by about a touchdown. In some cases, the spread is more.

AccuScore: Dallas 30, Philadelphia 18
TeamRankings: Dallas 25, Philadelphia 17
NumberFire: Dallas 27, Philadelphia 18
WhatIfSports: Dallas 25, Philadelphia 19
Madden: Dallas 27, Philadelphia 13

The story of the Madden sim:

Remember when all the Eagles talk revolved around the words “Dream Team” and “Dynasty”? Talk about a team that couldn’t walk the walk. Philadelphia loses another one this week, scoring only 13 points against the rival Cowboys, while never really being able to get on track on either side of the ball. Tony Romo stars for Dallas in the win, throwing for 283 yards and two touchdowns in the 27-13 victory.

* * *

The Saints’ loss to the Falcons helped the Cowboys’ playoff chances just a bit, but those chances are still rather poor. At 5-6, Dallas is a game out of the second wildcard position. The Cowboys also have the same record as Washington, which would win the head-to-head tiebreaker at this point. The teams involved:

Seattle (6-5): Beat Minnesota and Dallas and have a relatively easy schedule in December.

Tampa Bay (6-5): Beat Minnesota but lost to Dallas and Washington.

Minnesota (6-5): Lost to both Seattle, Tampa Bay, and Washington.

Washington (5-6): Has wins over Tampa Bay, Minnesota, and Dallas.

Dallas (5-6): Beat Tampa Bay but lost to Seattle and Washington. Any loss from this point out may all but kill the Cowboys’ chances.

New Orleans (5-7): Beat Tampa Bay but lost to Washington. Saints’ chances are nearly hopeless.

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Article by Matt Cordon

Blogging impatiently about the Cowboys since 2006. Being a fan since 1977 hasn't required quite as much patience.
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