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Simulations and Predictions All Favor 49ers

The Dallas Cowboys host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. Nearly all simulations and predictions favor the 49ers.

Cowboys Will Play Their 22nd Game on Sunday Night Football

Somehow, "I Hate Myself for Loving You" became "I've Been Waiting All Day for Sunday Night." Sigh.

Somehow, “I Hate Myself for Loving You” became “I’ve Been Waiting All Day for Sunday Night.” Sigh.

Hard to believe that football returned to NBC seven years ago as NBC Sunday Night Football. The Dallas Cowboys played in the second regular season game on this program, beating the Washington Redskins 27-10 on September 17, 2006.

The Cowboys will appear on Sunday Night Football for the 22nd time on November 10. It is also the third time this season for Dallas to play in primetime.

Including the two previous games this year, the Cowboys have a combined record of 12-9 in the previous 21 games. Here are a few trivia items about those games:

  • The Cowboys have played division opponents on Sunday Night Football 15 times, including 5 games against the Redskins, 4 games against the Eagles, and 6 games against the Giants.
  • The only AFC team the Cowboys have faced on Sunday night since 2006 were the Jets in 2011.
  • The Cowboys had a 10-2 record on Sunday night between 2006 and 2009. However, after the Cowboys lost to the Redskins to open the 2010 season, the Cowboys lost 7 straight between 2010 and 2012.
  • The Cowboys’ first loss on Sunday night was against the Saints, who the Cowboys play this Sunday. That was a matchup between Bill Parcells and his former assistant, Sean Payton. New Orleans destroyed Dallas, 42-17.
  • ESPN (and for some time, TNT) aired games on Sunday night from 1987 through 2005. The Cowboys appeared on Sunday night 17 times during those years and had a total record of 5-12.

* * *

In the Saints’ win over the Cowboys in 2006, one player for New Orleans scored 3 touchdowns.

In his career, this player scored a total of 7 touchdowns.

Who was it?

 

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Cowboys Set a Low Mark in Rushing Attempts

Many teams like to run the ball. The Cowboys, in fact, used to like to run the ball. They didn't on Sunday.

Many teams like to run the ball. The Cowboys, in fact, used to like to run the ball. They didn’t on Sunday.

The Dallas Cowboys abandoned the run on Sunday like they never have before.

During the time that Tom Landry coached the Cowboys, the team never had fewer than 16 rushing attempts in a single game. Between 1960 and 1988, the Cowboys played 64 games in which they ran the ball 25 or fewer times. The team’s record in those games was 11-53.

Since 1989, the Cowboys have played 24 games in which they rushed 15 or fewer times in a game. Until Sunday, the team had a combined record of 0-23 in those games. Thanks to Sunday’s game, the team’s record in those games is 1-23.

The team’s previous low in rushing attempts was 10, set in 1989 in a 28-0 loss to New Orleans and again in 2011 in a 34-7 loss to Philadelphia.

Dallas became the second team in 2013 to have only 9 rushing attempts. The other team was Baltimore, which ran the ball 9 times for 24 yards in a 23-20 loss at Buffalo. Teams that have ran the ball 15 or fewer times have a combined record of 4-16. The Cowboys’ previous low this year was 14 attempt in the 51-48 loss to Denver.

Here is a chart showing games in which Dallas has ran the ball 15 or fewer times:

* * *

The Cowboys had only 36 rushing yards on Sunday. That number did not set a franchise low, however.

Dallas has rushed for 36 or fewer yards in 15 games. The team’s combined record in those games is 2-13.

The previous win game in 1987, when Dallas ran the ball 24 times for 26 yards in a 33-24 win over the New York Giants. Tony Dorsett had one of the worst games of his career, gaining just 3 yards on 14 carries. He lost his starting job two weeks later.

 

* * *

If Jerry was going for the creepy-old-man look, he nailed it next to Selena Gomez, who will perform at halftime on Thanksgiving.

jerry

A trivia question I could not answer: name one song that Selena Gomez sings.

Of course, my daughter might watch football on Thanksgiving this year. Thanks, Jerry!

 

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Cowboys-Broncos Instant Trivia: Lots of Fun With New Records

cowboys.question.markThe Cowboys’ 51-48 loss to the Broncos was remarkable for many, many reasons. I did not need to look very closely to find the trivia below.

Here we go:

The Cowboys have scored 48 or more points in 12 games in franchise history. Five of those games took place during the 1960s, three in the early 1970s, and two during the 1980 season alone. The Cowboys had not scored 48 points since October 22, 2000, when Dallas beat Arizona 48-7.

The Cowboys’ record in games in which they have scored 48 or more points is now 11-1.

In fact, the no game in which the Cowboys have scored 48 had ever been close until Sunday’s loss to the Broncos.

Here is a list:

Points
Rk Tm Year Date Opp Day Result PF PA
1 DAL 2013 2013-10-06 DEN Sun L 48-51 48 51
2 DAL 2000 2000-10-22 ARI Sun W 48-7 48 7
3 DAL 1980 1980-11-27 SEA Thu W 51-7 51 7
4 DAL 1980 1980-10-12 SFO Sun W 59-14 59 14
5 DAL 1971 1971-12-04 NYJ Sat W 52-10 52 10
6 DAL 1971 1971-09-19 BUF Sun W 49-37 49 37
7 DAL 1970 1970-12-20 HOU Sun W 52-10 52 10
8 DAL 1969 1969-10-19 PHI Sun W 49-14 49 14
9 DAL 1968 1968-09-15 DET Sun W 59-13 59 13
10 DAL 1966 1966-10-30 PIT Sun W 52-21 52 21
11 DAL 1966 1966-10-09 PHI Sun W 56-7 56 7
12 DAL 1966 1966-09-18 NYG Sun W 52-7 52 7
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/8/2013.

* * *

This is the third time the Cowboys have give up 51 or more points.  The previous two games took place in 1970 (54-13 loss to Minnesota) and 1962 (52-20 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals).

* * *

The Cowboys have committed turnovers in the fourth quarter of each of their losses in 2013.

In 2012, the Cowboys committed at least one fourth-quarter turnover in four games and went 1-3 in those games.

In 2011, the Cowboys committed at least one fourth-quarter turnover in three games and went 0-3 in those games.

In 2010, the Cowboys committed at least one fourth-quarter turnover in ten games and went 1-9 in those games.

* * *

The Cowboys have missed the playoffs in three consecutive seasons. Making the playoffs after a 2-3 start is a bit of a long-shot historically.

Incidentally, the team’s three-year playoff drought is tied for the third-longest in franchise history. If the team misses the playoffs again, the streak will be longer than the one when quarterbacks included the likes of Quincy Carter, Anthony Wright, Clint Stoerner, Ryan Leaf, and so forth.

* * *

Tony Romo now has the franchise record with 506 passing yards in a game. It broke Don Meredith’s mark of 460 yards set against San Francisco in 1963.

Dallas quarterbacks have thrown for 400 or more yards on eight different occasions. Romo was the quarterback in five of those games.

* * *

The Cowboys record in games in which a quarterback has thrown for 400 or more yards: 1-7.

The only Dallas QB to win a game while throwing for 400 or more yards is Meredith, who threw for 406 in a 31-30 win over Washington in 1966.

* * *

Romo’s passer rating of 140.0 was the eighth-highest of his career. His best rating in a single game was 150.5 in a 38-33 win over Philadelphia in 2012.

The Cowboys’ record in games where the Romo’s QB rating was 140.0 or better: 6-2.

* * *

The Cowboys have given up 500 or more yards in a game 17 times since 1960.

Two of those games came in losses to San Diego and Denver.

In team history, the Cowboys have gone 3-14 in games in which their defense has given up 500 or more yards.

On the other hand, the Cowboys are now 15-5 in games in which their offense has gained 500 or more yards.

* * *

Sunday’s game against Denver was not the first time in which both the Cowboys and their opponent have gained 500 or more yards.

In the season-opener in 1999, the Cowboys gained 541 yards, while the Redskins gained 504, in a 41-35 Dallas win.

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The Recent Week 4 Curse

The Dallas Cowboys feel good about themselves after their 31-7 win over the St. Louis Rams last Sunday. The team can improve to 3-1 for the first time since 2008 with a win over the Chargers on Sunday.

The Cowboys are hoping to reverse a recent curse that has caused a 1-5 record during week 4 games since 2007.

The Cowboys are hoping to reverse a recent curse that has caused a 1-5 record during week 4 games since 2007.

It will require the Cowboys to win during week 4 for the first time since 2007.

Tony Romo has started during week 4 every season since 2007. The team’s record in those games is 1-5.  He has thrown at least one interception during each of these week 4 games.

The week 4 games during the last three games were especially bad.  He threw three picks against the Titans in 2010, three picks in a dreadful loss to the Lions in 2011, and five picks in a loss to the Bears last year.

Here is a complete list of those games:

2007

Dallas 35, St. Louis 7

Romo: 21 of 33, 339 yards, 3 TD, 1 Int.

2008

Washington 26, Dallas 24

Romo: 28 of 47, 300 yards, 3 TD, 1 Int.

2009

Denver 17, Dallas 10

Romo: 25 of 42, 255 yards, 0 TD, 1 Int.

2010

Tennessee 34, Dallas 27

Romo: 31 of 46, 406 yards, 3 TD, 3 Int.

2011

Detroit 34, Dallas 30

Romo: 34 of 47, 331 yards, 3 TD, 3 Int.

2012

Chicago 34, Dallas 18

Romo: 34 of 43, 307 yards, 1 TD, 5 Int.
Totals

Dallas record during week 4 since 2007: 1-5

Romo’s statistics: 173 of 258, 1938 yards, 13 TD, 14 Int.

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Not Many Home Overtime Games for the Cowboys

Dan Bailey’s 32-yard field goal sent Sunday’s game into overtime. It marked the first overtime game at Cowboys Stadium.

The Cowboys’ 23-20 win over the Cleveland Browns was the first overtime game at Cowboys Stadium. In fact, it was the first home overtime game for the Cowboys since 2005.

The NFL first adopted overtime rules in 1974. Since then, the Cowboys have played in 31 overtime games, compiling a record of 18-13 (including Sunday’s win over Cleveland).

Only nine of those game came a home, however. Until Sunday, the Cowboys had a record of 4-4 in home overtime games dating back to 1975. With the win over the Browns, the Cowboys’ record is now 5-4.

Here’s a list of those home overtime games:

Rk Tm Year Date Time LTime Opp W# G# Day Result OT
1 DAL 2012 2012-11-18 1:04 12:04 CLE 11 10 Sun W 23-20 OT
2 DAL 2005 2005-11-24 4:15 3:15 DEN 12 11 Thu L 21-24 OT
3 DAL 2005 2005-10-16 1:00 12:00 NYG 6 6 Sun W 16-13 OT
4 DAL 2000 2000-10-29 4:15 3:15 JAX 9 8 Sun L 17-23 OT
5 DAL 1994 1994-09-19 9:00 8:00 DET 3 3 Mon L 17-20 OT
6 DAL 1987 1987-11-26 4:00 3:00 MIN 11 11 Thu L 38-44 OT
7 DAL 1984 1984-10-21 9:45 8:45 NOR 8 8 Sun W 30-27 OT
8 DAL 1983 1983-10-09 4:00 3:00 TAM 6 6 Sun W 27-24 OT
9 DAL 1975 1975-09-28 2:00 1:00 STL 2 2 Sun W 37-31 OT
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/20/2012.
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